The English Football League got off to a flying start this past weekend. All 72 teams across the three divisions were in action as fans packed out stadiums up and down the country. To top off what was a brilliant weekend of football, England’s women’s team went out and grabbed the country’s first major trophy in 56 years with a victory over Germany at Wembley. Football fever has well and truly gripped England again, and it’s just in time for the return of the Premier League. The country’s top division is the most watched league in the world, and this season has seen even more top-level talent join its ranks. In this EPL betting tips guide, we are going to break down all of the division’s key markets and see what bets could be worth placing before the big kick-off.
Premier League Title Winner
Once again, the Premier Lague title race is likely to come down to two contenders. Manchester City and Liverpool have spent the last four years battling it out at the top of the league, and there is nothing to suggest anyone is going to disrupt that in the EPL 22/23 season. Man City are heavily favored at 1.57 in the Premier League outright odds with 888 Sport, and you would be a fool to bet against them. The Citizens have been very busy this summer, with the singing of Haaland being the biggest transfer news this season.
Liverpool hasn’t had the quietest summer itself. The signing of Darwin Nunez as a replacement for Sadio Mane is the big news to come out of Anfield. The Reds can be found at 3.5 with Betfair. They took City to the last game last year, and Pep Guardiola will be keen to make sure that doesn’t happen again. Klopp’s men did secure a victory over them in the Community Shield, which will be a psychological edge for Liverpool.
There may be some value to be had in some of the handicap markets here. Tottenham is likely to be the best of the rest, and they have recruited exceptionally well under Conte this summer. Spurs look a real threat and a +12 handicap at 16.00 with Bet Victor could be worth a punt.
Top Value Picks:
- Liverpool 3.5
- Tottenham +12 Handicap 16.00
EPL Relegation odds
The growing disparity between newly promoted sides and the rest of the league has made the relegation battle somewhat of a bore in recent years. Last year’s battle was livened up by a poor Everton side, and this year’s looks to be the most interesting in some time.
This is reflected in some very tight Premier League relegation odds, with six teams being priced at 4.00 or lower. New boys Bournemouth are favorites at around 1.44 with most bookmakers. After a very quiet transfer window, it’s hard to see Scott Parker’s men proving this wrong. Fulham, making their third return in six years, is also heavily favored to continue their trend this season, and they can be found at around 2.33 with Bet365. Like the winner’s markets, there is no huge value in a lot of these selections. However, betting on a team to finish bottom, while riskier, does provide some better odds. Fulham is currently available at 7.0 with Bet Victor, which could be worth a shot.
Nottingham Forest has grabbed everyone’s attention with their signings. The arrivals of Dean Henderson and Jesse Lingard, as well as the contract extension of Brennan Johnson, bring plenty of hope of survival for Steve Cooper and his merry men.
The other teams who could get dragged into a scrap this season include Brentford, Leeds, Southampton, and Everton. Everton is the best odds of these at 5.5 with Betfred. Lampard steered the ship to safety at the end of last season and the Toffees will need to rely on their home form to stay up this year. Brentford and Southampton both suffered spluttering finishes to the season and can be found at 3.5 and 4.0 respectively with Unibet. The latter of these could definitely be worth a punt.
Finally, Leeds United has had its squad ripped apart this summer, with key players Kalvin Phillips and Raphinha leaving for Man City and Barcelona respectively. The loss of these players is going to hit Jesse March’s men hard, and they can be found at 3.3 with 888 Sport.
Top Value Picks:
- Brentford 3.50
- Leeds United 3.30
- Southampton 4.00
- Fulham to Finish Bottom 7.00
Best English Premier Leagues Odds for Top Goalscorer
There is so much talent in the Premier League this season that making a call on a top scorer is incredibly difficult. The Premier League top scorer odds market is perhaps the one with the best value, with plenty of top contenders offering good odds.
Man City's new-boy Erling Haaland is the favorite with most bookmakers. Bet365 currently has him at odds of 3.75 to take home the Golden Boot in his maiden season in the league. The Norweigan powerhouse has scored goals for fun over the last few years, but the Premier League will be his toughest test yet. That said, his record is undeniable and he is the favorite for a reason.
Last season’s Golden Boot was split between Liverpool’s Mo Salah and Spurs’ Son-Heung Min. The former is the second favorite with most bookmakers, coming in at odds of 6.00 with Unibet. While Son can be found as far as out at 17.00 with Coral. Salah has been the most consistent player in the league last year and he is almost definitely going to be in with a shout, while Son is an exceptional talent who has excelled under Antonio Conte.
Son’s teammate, Harry Kane, will want to get back to his goalscoring best this year too. After a summer of unrest, he struggled to get going last season but will feel much more assured under Conte this year. He can be found at 7.00 with William Hill and could definitely be worth a punt.
Heading to the other side of North London, Gabriel Jesus will hope to be a star for Arsenal. Jesus has shown what he is capable of at City, but as a victim of Pep Roulette, he was never going to be the division’s top scorer. He will be the focal point of Mikel Arteta’s attack at the Gunners and has excelled during the pre-season. He can be found at a generous 13.00 with William Hill.
Deciding which of these will be the top scorer is extremely difficult, and there is value in all of them. Putting our neck on the line, we fancy Mohamed Salah to deliver again at Liverpool with the help of some attacking partners.
Top Value Picks:
- Erling Haaland (Man City): 3.75
- Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): 6.00
- Harry Kane (Spurs) 6.00
- Son-Heung Min (Spurs) 17.00
- Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal) 13:00
EPL Betting Dark Horses
As we have mentioned elsewhere in this EPL odds betting preview, finding good value odds for the Premier League can be difficult. The league is perhaps the most predictable in the country, with the top 6 being well-established, a group of teams highly likely to struggle, and then a mid-table cluster.
As such, we like to look to other markets for value here. The next manager to leave market is always good for value. Frank Lampard is an obvious favorite with odds of 4.5, but we like the look of Jesse March and Bruno Lage at 7.00 and 13.00 with Bet Victor respectively. The latter, in particular, is a good outside shout, with the Midlands club having a poor summer of recruitment so far. Wolves had a lackluster end to the season last year, and there is a general feeling of stagnation from a club that was competing for Europe just a couple of years ago.
Speaking of Wolves, they can be found at 6.50 with Betway for relegation. This is certainly a long shot, but this section isn’t called Dark Horses for nothing. Another dark horse shout that we think might offer some value is Nottingham Forest at a +51 win handicap for the title. This is at 17.00 with Boyle Sport. They would need to finish around 14th based on previous seasons to win this, and given their seasons and the general feel-good factor around the club, this is certainly possible.
- Next manager to leave - Bruno Lage (7.00)
- Next manage to leave - Jesse March
- Nottingham Forest League Handicap +51 (17.00)
GoodLuckMate’s EPL Predictions 22/23
So we’ve provided our best value picks for the coming season, now let’s put our money where our mouth is and provide our English Premier League predictions for the 22/23 campaign.
- Champions: Man City
- Top Four: Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea
- Relegation: Brentford, Fulham, Bournemouth
- Top Scorer: Mo Salah
All EPL betting odds were correct at the time of writing - August 1st, 2022.